Foresight and its tools in supporting decision-making and shaping of Future Course
Foresight and its tools in supporting decision-making and shaping of Future Course.
Foresight is considered as one of the emergence sciences in the Middle East and one of the fields that has future weight, which should be within the institutions to ensure its success , many institutions have started to think seriously in using it before the planning process to shape the future and exploit future opportunities and deal with future risks,
The training course is working on teaching the trainees in a practical and interactive manner about the importance of the foresight and the difference between it and the strategic planning and what are its tools and how it is implemented in a practical way by Delphi method or by building and writing future scenarios, To explore the formation of the future and teach the trainees to use it in a practical way before starting to plan any future project.
Equip the trainees in a practical, interactive and applicable manner on how to carry out future studies.
Identify the foresight and its applications in the different fields of work.
Learn the most important foresight tools that are widely used internationally, including the Delphi method and /or building and writing of future scenarios.
A general introduction to the Foresight, history and the most important methods used and the study of international experiences such as Korea and Japan, and what are the steps of future studies.
A theoretical introduction on the Delphi method to explore the future and what is the history and the countries that use it and what are its disadvantages and characteristics of this method.
Define the framework of the future studies project, how to define goals and the outputs, and choose the appropriate method and time frame for foresight.
Studying the current situation and the trends and identifying the tools used to study the current situation such as STEEP and PESTEL analysis.
The identification of Delphi fields and the structure of the Delphi questionnaire and the methods of ion and role of participating experts.
Identifying future topics. Identifying how future topics are derived and the characteristics of topics that may be realized in the future.
The design of the Delphi questionnaire and the types of questionnaires that are used for the Delphi method and how to design the questionnaire and what are the questions that the questionnaire covers and their type.
Results of Delphi tours and analysis of the results, how to present them in an easy way. And the Participants will also analyse the results of their questionnaires after being answered by the participants interactively.
A theoretical introduction to the future scenario, what is the scenario and the date of its use, and what the uses are and types used in future studies.
Determining the forces of the future of the subjects to be foreseen and how to choose those forces and what are their characteristics and their impact as well.
Identify key drivers of uncertainties. In this unit, we will identify how impact analysis and certainty are done for the ion of the forces involved in the scenario, as well as the direction of future change of these forces.
Build the scenario. In this module, participants will learn how to build scenarios by the most two important ways: 2x2 method or Architypes method and how to frame the future image of future topics.
Writing the script and how to describe what will happen until the final picture of the future is achieved and how to describe the future events, to give the final image of the scenario.
5 Days / 20 Hrs.
Certificate approved by The AASTMT
English / Arabic
Productivity and Quality Institute or Company Headquarters